Marshmallow Diplomacy
2013-10-25 06:03:10 UTC
By PETER BAKER
WASHINGTON President Obama woke up Monday facing a
Congressional defeat that many in both parties believed could
hobble his presidency. And by the end of the day, he found
himself in the odd position of relying on his Russian
counterpart, Vladimir V. Putin, of all people, to bail him out.
The surprise Russian proposal to defuse the American
confrontation with Syria made a tenuous situation even more
volatile for a president struggling to convince a deeply
skeptical public of the need for the United States to respond
militarily in yet another Middle Eastern country, this time in
retaliation for the use of chemical weapons. It could make the
situation even more precarious. Or it could give Mr. Obama an
escape from a predicament partly of his own making.
In effect, Mr. Obama is now caught between trying to work out a
deal with Mr. Putin, with whom he has been feuding lately, or
trying to win over Republicans in the House who have made it
their mission to block his agenda. Even if he does not trust Mr.
Putin, Mr. Obama will have to decide whether to treat the
Russian proposal seriously or assume it is merely a means of
obstructing an American military strike.
Putin knows that everyone wants an out, so hes providing one,
said Fiona Hill, a former national intelligence officer and co-
author of Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin. It seems like
a bold idea that will get everyone, including Obama, out of a
bind that they dont want to be in.
But, she said, it may be an idea that derails a strike for now
without solving the underlying problem. Indeed, the Senate
quickly postponed plans for a vote authorizing an attack.
It just adds to the uncertainty and makes a vote soon a little
more difficult, said Howard Berman, a Democrat and former
chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. It just gets
dragged out and causes the Congress to say lets wait to see
what happens with this before they vote.
All of which had White House speechwriters revising their drafts
before Mr. Obama addresses the nation Tuesday night in what is
shaping up as one of the most challenging moments of his
presidency. He hoped to explain why it was necessary to
retaliate for a chemical weapons attack that, according to
United States intelligence, killed more than 1,400 in Syria, but
also reassure Americans the result would not be another Iraq war.
Now Mr. Obama needs to also explain why Congress should still
vote to authorize such a strike in the face of a possible
diplomatic solution and what if any conditions would satisfy him
enough to order American destroyers in the eastern Mediterranean
Sea not to act, at least for now. And he has to win over a
public that by significant margins opposes American military
action.
Their path to success is really, really tough, said Joel P.
Johnson, who was a counselor to President Bill Clinton. I dont
think theres any question that they went into this eyes wide
open, knowing how tough this was going to be, and volatile and
unpredictable, and probably will be hour to hour until theres a
vote.
The twists and turns in the Syria debate have whipsawed the
nations capital and by some accounts imperiled Mr. Obamas
presidency. Democrats are mystified and in some cases livid with
Mr. Obama for asking Congress to decide the matter instead of
simply ordering one or two days of strikes and getting it over
with.
By most estimates, the Republican-controlled House would reject
authorizing such an attack if the vote were held now, and it is
not clear whether the Democrat-led Senate would approve it. Few
presidents have lost such a major vote on war and peace in the
almost century since the Senate rejected Woodrow Wilsons League
of Nations.
In their private moments, Mr. Obamas allies said even the
argument that his presidency would for all intents and purposes
be over did not sway some unsympathetic Democrats, frustrated
over how few victories there have been to hang on to in Mr.
Obamas fifth year in office.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/10/world/middleeast/surprise-
russian-proposal-catches-obama-between-putin-and-house-
republicans.html?pagewanted=all
WASHINGTON President Obama woke up Monday facing a
Congressional defeat that many in both parties believed could
hobble his presidency. And by the end of the day, he found
himself in the odd position of relying on his Russian
counterpart, Vladimir V. Putin, of all people, to bail him out.
The surprise Russian proposal to defuse the American
confrontation with Syria made a tenuous situation even more
volatile for a president struggling to convince a deeply
skeptical public of the need for the United States to respond
militarily in yet another Middle Eastern country, this time in
retaliation for the use of chemical weapons. It could make the
situation even more precarious. Or it could give Mr. Obama an
escape from a predicament partly of his own making.
In effect, Mr. Obama is now caught between trying to work out a
deal with Mr. Putin, with whom he has been feuding lately, or
trying to win over Republicans in the House who have made it
their mission to block his agenda. Even if he does not trust Mr.
Putin, Mr. Obama will have to decide whether to treat the
Russian proposal seriously or assume it is merely a means of
obstructing an American military strike.
Putin knows that everyone wants an out, so hes providing one,
said Fiona Hill, a former national intelligence officer and co-
author of Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin. It seems like
a bold idea that will get everyone, including Obama, out of a
bind that they dont want to be in.
But, she said, it may be an idea that derails a strike for now
without solving the underlying problem. Indeed, the Senate
quickly postponed plans for a vote authorizing an attack.
It just adds to the uncertainty and makes a vote soon a little
more difficult, said Howard Berman, a Democrat and former
chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee. It just gets
dragged out and causes the Congress to say lets wait to see
what happens with this before they vote.
All of which had White House speechwriters revising their drafts
before Mr. Obama addresses the nation Tuesday night in what is
shaping up as one of the most challenging moments of his
presidency. He hoped to explain why it was necessary to
retaliate for a chemical weapons attack that, according to
United States intelligence, killed more than 1,400 in Syria, but
also reassure Americans the result would not be another Iraq war.
Now Mr. Obama needs to also explain why Congress should still
vote to authorize such a strike in the face of a possible
diplomatic solution and what if any conditions would satisfy him
enough to order American destroyers in the eastern Mediterranean
Sea not to act, at least for now. And he has to win over a
public that by significant margins opposes American military
action.
Their path to success is really, really tough, said Joel P.
Johnson, who was a counselor to President Bill Clinton. I dont
think theres any question that they went into this eyes wide
open, knowing how tough this was going to be, and volatile and
unpredictable, and probably will be hour to hour until theres a
vote.
The twists and turns in the Syria debate have whipsawed the
nations capital and by some accounts imperiled Mr. Obamas
presidency. Democrats are mystified and in some cases livid with
Mr. Obama for asking Congress to decide the matter instead of
simply ordering one or two days of strikes and getting it over
with.
By most estimates, the Republican-controlled House would reject
authorizing such an attack if the vote were held now, and it is
not clear whether the Democrat-led Senate would approve it. Few
presidents have lost such a major vote on war and peace in the
almost century since the Senate rejected Woodrow Wilsons League
of Nations.
In their private moments, Mr. Obamas allies said even the
argument that his presidency would for all intents and purposes
be over did not sway some unsympathetic Democrats, frustrated
over how few victories there have been to hang on to in Mr.
Obamas fifth year in office.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/10/world/middleeast/surprise-
russian-proposal-catches-obama-between-putin-and-house-
republicans.html?pagewanted=all